>> if you're the romney campaign, you know you have to win ohio. that's why you'll see so much time spent by governor romney, by congressman ryan in ohio over the next week. it's a very close race. before the debate, denver -- this race was out of reach in ohio for governor romney. now it's a very close race. it's anywhere from president obama with a very, very slight lead to just about an even race in ohio. so it's going to come down to the wire. >> and karen, when you break down the ohio numbers further, it's interesting when you look at those who will vote early, the obama folks went about six out of ten early voters, but losing those who say they're going to vote on election day, 44 to 51, romney with 51. what's the story there? is it potentially that the obama campaign is peaking too early with the early vote snerl larly? >> i don't think so. i think that's great spin from the romney campaign. here's the thing to remember, actually. early voters tend to be what we call sporadic voters. it's a different universe than those who actually vote on